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NFC Playoff Picture: Falcons control their postseason destiny

A look at the current NFL playoff landscape with just two weeks left in the regular season. 

FLOWERY BRANCH, Ga. — The Falcons (8-7) are back on top of the NFC South. With two games left in the regular season, their playoff fate is in their hands.

Atlanta's playoff probability is 54%, according to NFL.com. It was 31% last week. If the Falcons win their last two games, they will claim the division title for the first time since 2016 and reach the postseason.

Up next, the Falcons face the Washington Commanders on "Sunday Night Football" in a road environment that will rival a playoff atmosphere. Every game down the stretch has been labeled a "must-win" for Atlanta and this one is no different. After that, the Falcons conclude the regular season versus the Carolina Panthers (4-11) at home.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers relinquished the NFC South lead with a loss to the Dallas Cowboys in Week 16. They face the Panthers and New Orleans Saints (5-10) in the last two weeks.

Several teams were eliminated from the playoff hunt entering Week 17. Just five NFC teams battle for the three available playoff spots. Here's a current look at the NFC playoff picture as of Wednesday, Dec. 25:

NFCPlayoffTracker 16x9_ (1)

NFC playoff teams

(13-2)
1
Lions.png
Detroit Lions
NFC North leader — clinched playoff spot
(12-3)
2
Eagles.png
Philadelphia Eagles
NFC East leader — clinched playoff spot
(9-6)
3
Rams_table
Los Angeles Rams
NFC West leader
(8-7)
4
FALCONS
Atlanta Falcons
NFC South leader
(13-2)
5
Vikings.png
Minnesota Vikings
Wild Card No. 1 — clinched playoff spot
(11-4)
6
Packers.png
Green Bay Packers
Wild Card No. 2 — clinched playoff spot
(10-5)
7
af_22_nfl_club-logo_0000s_0001_commanders
Washington Commanders
Wild Card No. 3
(8-7)
1
Bucs_table
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL Playoff Probability: 51%
(8-7)
2
Seahawks.png
Seattle Seahawks
NFL Playoff Probability: 14%

Potential first-round matchups

  • No. 1 Detroit Lions (13-2) — bye
  • No. 7 Washington Commanders (10-5) vs. No. 2 Philadelphia Eagles (12-3)
  • No. 6 Green Bay Packers (11-4) vs. No. 3 Los Angeles Rams (9-6)
  • No. 5 Minnesota Vikings (13-2) vs. No. 4 Atlanta Falcons (8-7)

Divisional standings

NFC South

(8-7)
1
FALCONS
Atlanta Falcons
Remaining schedule: @ Washington Commanders (10-5), vs. Carolina Panthers (4-11)
(8-7)
2
Bucs_table
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Remaining schedule: vs. Carolina Panthers (4-11), vs. New Orleans Saints (5-10)
(5-10)
3
Saints_table
New Orleans Saints
Eliminated from playoff contention
(4-11)
4
Panthers_table
Carolina Panthers
Eliminated from playoff contention

NFC North

(12-3)
1
Lions_table
Detroit Lions
Remaining schedule: @ San Francisco 49ers (6-9), vs. Minnesota Vikings (12-3)
(13-2)
2
Vikings.png
Minnesota Vikings
Remaining schedule: vs. Green Bay Packers (11-4), @ Detriot Lions (13-2)
(11-4)
3
Packers_table
Green Bay Packers
Remaining schedule: @ Minnesota Vikings (13-2), vs. Chicago Bears (4-11)
(4-11)
4
Bears_table
Chicago Bears
Eliminated from playoff contention

NFC East

(12-3)
1
Eagles.png
Philadelphia Eagles
Remaining schedule: vs. Dallas Cowboys (7-8), vs. New York Giants (2-13)
(10-5)
2
af_22_nfl_club-logo_0000s_0001_commanders
Washington Commanders
Remaining schedule: vs. Atlanta Falcons (8-7), @ Dallas Cowboys (7-8)
(7-8)
3
Cowboys_table
Dallas Cowboys
Eliminated from playoff contention
(2-13)
4
Giants_table
New York Giants
Eliminated from playoff contention

NFC West

(9-6)
1
Rams_table
Los Angeles Rams
Remaining schedule: vs. Arizona Cardinals (7-8), vs. Seattle Seahawks (8-7)
(8-7)
2
Seahawks_table
Seattle Seahawks
Remaining schedule: @ Chicago Bears (4-11), @ Los Angeles Rams (9-6)
(7-8)
3
Cardinals_Table
Arizona Cardinals
Eliminated from playoff contention
(6-9)
4
49ers_table
San Francisco 49ers
Eliminated from playoff contention

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